Research

Investigations worth keeping.

Technical investigations into market data, quantitative systems and production decision tools. Longer notes on architecture, vendor trade-offs and operational reality.

Index of notes

Research

10 active notes

  1. Pricing Before Prediction: How to Build and Test a Credit Engine

    A practical guide to bootstrapping CDS hazard rates, pricing fixed-rate bonds, validating the numerical machinery, and knowing when linear credit P&L has stopped being reliable.

  2. When One Name Breaks the Basket: CDX, Defaults and the Index Skew

    A mechanics-first study of CDX versus its single-name CDS constituents, showing where distress creates a real index skew, where naive averages manufacture one, and what survives execution costs.

  3. From Sharpe Ratios to Portfolio Weights: A Quantitative Guide in R

    A practical explanation of how an equity portfolio moves from adjusted prices and risk-adjusted stock selection to covariance-aware allocation, rebalancing and transaction-cost control.

  4. Queueing Theory for Quants: Workload, Bursts and Waiting-Time Risk

    An interactive guide to single-server queues, workload processes and renewal arrivals, with a quant-focused explanation of capacity, burstiness, tail latency and model validation.

  5. When Equity Moves First: A Public-Data Equity–Credit Stress Test

    A three-year, 16-issuer study of whether broad idiosyncratic equity shocks precede credit stress, with next-close execution, randomization tests, block-bootstrap Monte Carlo and an honest account of the data still required for issuer CDS and bond trading.

  6. The Discrepancy Is Not the Strategy: A Bond–CDS Basis Stress Test

    A literature-led, reproducible investigation of when cash bonds detach from CDS—and why waiting for funding stress to stabilise matters more than the headline basis.